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  • Challenges in achieving explainability & control with supply chain forecasts
    Rishab Guha, Phillip Jang, Andrea Tambalotti
    KDD 2025 Workshop on AI for Supply Chain
    2025
    AI and Deep Learning methods have revolutionized many forecasting applications but have not achieved widespread adoption in industry for aggregate forecasting. This paper challenges the AI research community by identifying three critical capabilities that current AI approaches lack: (1) multivariate consistency at scale, (2) explainable and controllable longrun assumptions, and (3) flexible incorporation
    Economics
  • Improving precision of A/B experiments using trigger intensity
    Tanmoy Das, Dohyeon Lee, Arnab Sinha
    NeurIPS 2025 Workshop on Uncovering Causality in Science
    2025
    Online randomized controlled experiments (A/B tests) measure causal changes in industry. While these experiments use incremental changes to minimize disruption, they often yield statistically insignificant results due to low signal-to-noise ratios. Precision improvement (or reducing standard error) traditionally focuses on trigger observations - where treatment and control outputs differ. Though effective
    Economics
  • Multiple randomization designs: Estimation and inference with interference
    Lorenzo Masoero, Suhas Vijaykumar, Thomas S. Richardson, James McQueen, Ido Rosen, Brian Burdick, Pat Bajari, Guido Imbens
    Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B
    2025
    Completely randomized experiments, originally developed by Fisher and Neyman in the 1930s, are still widely used in practice, even in online experimentation. However, such designs are of limited value for answering standard questions in marketplaces, where multiple populations of agents interact strategically, leading to complex patterns of spillover effects. In this paper, we derive the finite-sample properties
    Economics
  • The impact of sustainability programs on consumer purchase behavior: Evidence from Amazon
    Davide Proserpio, Ali Goli, Tyler Mangini, Ken Lau, Daniela Yu
    International Journal of Research in Marketing
    2025
    In 2020, Amazon launched the Climate Pledge Friendly (CPF) program to make it easy for customers to discover and shop for products with sustainability certifications. In this paper, we measure the causal impact of products qualifying for CPF on consumer purchase behavior. Using a dataset of about 45,000 products spanning three categories, and a Differencein-Differences identification strategy, we show that
    Economics
  • CLOUD-CG: Clustering on longitudinal causal graphs
    Shinpei Nakamura Sakai, Yuhe Gao, Chi-Hui Yen, Christoph Scheidiger, Jasjeet Sekhon
    AAAI 2025 Workshop on AI for Social Impact
    2025
    To the best of our knowledge, this work introduces the first framework for clustering longitudinal data by leveraging time-dependent causal representation learning. Clustering longitudinal data has gained significant attention across various fields, yet traditional methods often overlook the causal structures underlying observed patterns. Understanding how covariates influence outcomes is critical for policymakers
    Economics
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Senior Economist, Decision Science - Devices
US, CA, San Jose
Are you excited about making business decisions using science and data? Are you interested in supporting consumer device concepts from idea inception to launch? Do you want to work on a Science Product team focused on scaling statistics and econometrics with custom tools? If so, this may be the role for you! Amazon.com strives to be Earth's most customer-centric company. The Amazon Devices and Services team focuses on delighting customer by enabling seamless functionality in supplying, entertaining, and managing the home -- and beyond. We seek and hire the world's brightest minds, offering them a fast-paced, technologically-sophisticated, and friendly work environment, where economic theory meets real-world industry. The Decision Science team in Devices owns demand estimates and pricing recommendations of concept devices before customers know they exist. We support devices and services ranging from Echo Frames to Kindle Paperwhite to Blink Video Camera …all prior to launch. We are a cross-functional Product team working to scale Econometrics through Amazon and beyond by incorporating Science into internal facing tools and making it easier for others to do so as well. In this role, you will have input in decision meetings with Amazon senior leadership, which include go/no-go decisions for brand new devices and services and build volume decisions for manufacture prior to receiving any customer signal. You will have direct input to pricing decisions. You will leverage Science and Tools produced by the Decision Science team such as conjoint demand models to produce these recommendations. You will work with Scientists, Economists, Product Managers, and Software Developers to provide meaningful feedback about stakeholder problems to inform business solutions and increase the velocity, quality, and scope behind our recommendations. You will also have the opportunity to work on special projects to both guide the business and advance your own knowledge and understanding of specific topics. Key job responsibilities Applies expertise to develop econometric/machine learning models to measure the demand of devices and the business; Reviews models and results for other scientists, mentors junior scientists; Generates economic insights for the Devices and Services business and work with stakeholders to run the business for effectively; Describes strategic importance of vision inside and outside of team; and, Identifies business opportunities, defines the problem and how to solve it; Engages with senior scientists, business leadership outside Devices and Services to understand interplay between different business units.
Senior Economist, Stores Economics and Science
US, WA, Seattle
This role will develop Economic and Econometric models and thought leadership on projects that span our business, with a particular focus on supply chain and inventory selection. Through the lens of economics, you will develop a deeper understanding of how customers value our selection and interact with Amazon's store to make shopping easier. You will be a key and senior scientist, advising Amazon leaders how to evaluate selection and understand customers. You will work on developing frameworks and scaleable, repeatable models supporting optimal pricing and policy in the two-sided marketplace that is central to Amazon's business. The pricing for Amazon services is complex. You will partner with science and technology teams across Amazon including Supply Chain, Operations, Retail, FBA, Consumer Pricing, and Finance. Key job responsibilities The ideal candidate will have extensive Economics knowledge, demonstrated strength in practical and policy relevant structural econometrics, strong collaboration skills, proven ability to lead highly ambiguous and large projects, and a drive to deliver results. Ability to incorporate AI tools and methods into your work is highly valued. They will work closely with Economists, Data/Applied Scientists, Software Engineers and Product Managers to integrate economic insights into policy and systems production. About the team The Stores Economics and Sciences team is a central science team that supports Amazon's Retail and Supply Chain leadership. We tackle some of Amazon's most challenging economics and machine learning problems, where our mandate is to impact the business on massive scale.
Principal Economist, Stores Economics and Science
US, WA, Seattle
This role will contribute to developing the Economics and Science products and services in the Fee domain, with specialization in supply chain systems and fees. Through the lens of economics, you will develop causal links for how Amazon, Sellers and Customers interact. You will be a key and senior scientist, advising Amazon leaders how to price our services. You will work on developing frameworks and scaleable, repeatable models supporting optimal pricing and policy in the two-sided marketplace that is central to Amazon's business. The pricing for Amazon services is complex. You will partner with science and technology teams across Amazon including Advertising, Supply Chain, Operations, Prime, Consumer Pricing, and Finance. We are looking for an experienced Principal Economist to improve our understanding of seller Economics, enhance our ability to estimate the causal impact of fees, and work with partner teams to design pricing policy changes. In this role, you will provide guidance to scientists to develop econometric models to influence our fee pricing worldwide. You will lead the development of causal models to help isolate the impact of fee and policy changes from other business actions, using experiments when possible, or observational data when not. Key job responsibilities The ideal candidate will have extensive Economics knowledge, demonstrated strength in practical and policy relevant structural econometrics, strong collaboration skills, proven ability to lead highly ambiguous and large projects, and a drive to deliver results. They will work closely with Economists, Data / Applied Scientists, Strategy Analysts, Data Engineers, and Product leads to integrate economic insights into policy and systems production. Familiarity with systems and services that constitute seller supply chains is a plus but not required. About the team The Stores Economics and Sciences team is a central science team that supports Amazon's Retail and Supply Chain leadership. We tackle some of Amazon's most challenging economics and machine learning problems, where our mandate is to impact the business on massive scale.
Economist I - RFCA
US, WA, Seattle
Amazon.com strives to be Earth's most customer-centric company where customers can shop in our stores to find and discover anything they want to buy. We hire the world's brightest minds, offering them a fast paced, technologically sophisticated and friendly work environment. Economists at Amazon partner closely with senior management, business stakeholders, scientist and engineers, and economist leadership to solve key business problems ranging from Amazon Web Services, Kindle, Prime, inventory planning, international retail, third party merchants, search, pricing, labor and employment planning, effective benefits (health, retirement, etc.) and beyond. Amazon Economists build econometric models using our world class data systems and apply approaches from a variety of skillsets – applied macro/time series, applied micro, econometric theory, empirical IO, empirical health, labor, public economics and related fields are all highly valued skillsets at Amazon. You will work in a fast moving environment to solve business problems as a member of either a cross-functional team embedded within a business unit or a central science and economics organization. You will be expected to develop techniques that apply econometrics to large data sets, address quantitative problems, and contribute to the design of automated systems around the company.
Economist I, Amazon Manager Experience - Central Science
US, WA, Seattle
The People eXperience and Technology Central Science (PXTCS) team uses economics, behavioral science, statistics, and machine learning to proactively identify mechanisms and process improvements which simultaneously improve Amazon and the lives, well-being, and the value of work to Amazonians. PXTCS is looking for an economist who can apply economic methods to address business problems. The ideal candidate will work with engineers and computer scientists to estimate models and algorithms on large scale data, design pilots and measure impact, and transform successful prototypes into improved policies and programs at scale. PXTCS is looking for creative thinkers who can combine a strong technical economic toolbox with a desire to learn from other disciplines, and who know how to execute and deliver on big ideas as part of an interdisciplinary technical team. Key job responsibilities The economists within PXTCS design and evaluate the systems that shape how Amazon's Operations workforce is hired, developed, recognized, and retained. They build predictive models, design causal experiments, and develop econometric frameworks that quantify tradeoffs and inform leadership decisions across talent programs. The team works at the intersection of mechanism design, causal inference, and applied measurement — partnering with applied scientists, product teams, and program leaders to embed science into the design of talent systems rather than evaluating them after the fact. The team also applies macroeconomic analysis and time series forecasting to anticipate workforce trends and inform long-range planning.
Economist III - AMZ9511152
US, NY, New York
MULTIPLE POSITIONS AVAILABLE Employer: AMAZON.COM SERVICES LLC Offered Position: Economist III Job Location: New York, New York Job Number: AMZ9511152 Position Responsibilities: Work with senior management and other scientists on key business problems faced in cloud computing and operations. Utilize methods at the frontier of economics and time-series econometrics to develop formal models to understand the past and the present, predict the future, and identify relevant risks and opportunities. Build econometric models of dynamic systems using Bayesian times-series statistical methods and leveraging big data tools. Develop and implement statistical models for risk assessment and capacity management in cloud infrastructure. Formalize problems using rigorous science to solve business issues. 40 hours / week, 8:00am-5:00pm, Salary Range: $226,782/year to $236,900/year. Amazon is a total compensation company. Dependent on the position offered, equity, sign-on payments, and other forms of compensation may be provided as part of a total compensation package, in addition to a full range of medical, financial, and/or other benefits. For more information, visit: https://www.aboutamazon.com/workplace/employee-benefits. Amazon.com is an Equal Opportunity-Affirmative Action Employer – Minority / Female / Disability / Veteran / Gender Identity / Sexual Orientation.#0000
Senior Economist
US, WA, Seattle
Amazon.com strives to be Earth's most customer-centric company where customers can shop in our stores to find and discover anything they want to buy. We hire the world's brightest minds, offering them a fast paced, technologically sophisticated and friendly work environment. Economists in the Forecasting, Macroeconomics & Finance field document, interpret and forecast Amazon business dynamics. This track is well suited for economists adept at combining times-series statistical methods with strong economic analysis and intuition. This track could be a good fit for candidates with research experience in: macroeconometrics and/or empirical macroeconomics; international macroeconomics; time-series econometrics; forecasting; financial econometrics and/or empirical finance; and the use of micro and panel data to improve and validate traditional aggregate models. Economists at Amazon are expected to work directly with our senior management and scientists from other fields on key business problems faced across Amazon, including retail, cloud computing, third party merchants, search, Kindle, streaming video, and operations. The Forecasting, Macroeconomics & Finance field utilizes methods at the frontier of economics to develop formal models to understand the past and the present, predict the future, and identify relevant risks and opportunities. For example, we analyze the internal and external drivers of growth and profitability and how these drivers interact with the customer experience in the short, medium and long-term. We build econometric models of dynamic systems, using our world class data tools, formalizing problems using rigorous science to solve business issues and further delight customers.
Senior Economist
US, WA, Seattle
Amazon.com strives to be Earth's most customer-centric company where customers can shop in our stores to find and discover anything they want to buy. We hire the world's brightest minds, offering them a fast paced, technologically sophisticated and friendly work environment. Economists at Amazon partner closely with senior management, business stakeholders, scientist and engineers, and economist leadership to solve key business problems ranging from Amazon Web Services, Kindle, Prime, inventory planning, international retail, third party merchants, search, pricing, labor and employment planning, effective benefits (health, retirement, etc.) and beyond. Amazon Economists build econometric models using our world class data systems and apply approaches from a variety of skillsets – applied macro/time series, applied micro, econometric theory, empirical IO, empirical health, labor, public economics and related fields are all highly valued skillsets at Amazon. You will work in a fast moving environment to solve business problems as a member of either a cross-functional team embedded within a business unit or a central science and economics organization. You will be expected to develop techniques that apply econometrics to large data sets, address quantitative problems, and contribute to the design of automated systems around the company.
Economist II
US, WA, Seattle
Amazon.com strives to be Earth's most customer-centric company where customers can shop in our stores to find and discover anything they want to buy. We hire the world's brightest minds, offering them a fast paced, technologically sophisticated and friendly work environment. Economists at Amazon partner closely with senior management, business stakeholders, scientist and engineers, and economist leadership to solve key business problems ranging from Amazon Web Services, Kindle, Prime, inventory planning, international retail, third party merchants, search, pricing, labor and employment planning, effective benefits (health, retirement, etc.) and beyond. Amazon Economists build econometric models using our world class data systems and apply approaches from a variety of skillsets – applied macro/time series, applied micro, econometric theory, empirical IO, empirical health, labor, public economics and related fields are all highly valued skillsets at Amazon. You will work in a fast moving environment to solve business problems as a member of either a cross-functional team embedded within a business unit or a central science and economics organization. You will be expected to develop techniques that apply econometrics to large data sets, address quantitative problems, and contribute to the design of automated systems around the company.
Economist I
US, WA, Seattle
Amazon.com strives to be Earth's most customer-centric company where customers can shop in our stores to find and discover anything they want to buy. We hire the world's brightest minds, offering them a fast paced, technologically sophisticated and friendly work environment. Economists at Amazon partner closely with senior management, business stakeholders, scientist and engineers, and economist leadership to solve key business problems ranging from Amazon Web Services, Kindle, Prime, inventory planning, international retail, third party merchants, search, pricing, labor and employment planning, effective benefits (health, retirement, etc.) and beyond. Amazon Economists build econometric models using our world class data systems and apply approaches from a variety of skillsets – applied macro/time series, applied micro, econometric theory, empirical IO, empirical health, labor, public economics and related fields are all highly valued skillsets at Amazon. You will work in a fast moving environment to solve business problems as a member of either a cross-functional team embedded within a business unit or a central science and economics organization. You will be expected to develop techniques that apply econometrics to large data sets, address quantitative problems, and contribute to the design of automated systems around the company.
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