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January 13, 20267 min readLeveraging existing environment simulators and reward functions based on verifiable ground truth boosts task success rate, even with small models and small training datasets.
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Featured news
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KDD 2025 Workshop on AI for Supply Chain2025AI and Deep Learning methods have revolutionized many forecasting applications but have not achieved widespread adoption in industry for aggregate forecasting. This paper challenges the AI research community by identifying three critical capabilities that current AI approaches lack: (1) multivariate consistency at scale, (2) explainable and controllable longrun assumptions, and (3) flexible incorporation
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KDD 2025 Workshop on AI for Supply Chain2025This paper proposes using two metrics to quantify the forecastability of time series prior to model development: the spectral predictability score and the largest Lyapunov exponent. Unlike traditional model evaluation metrics, these measures assess the inherent forecastability characteristics of the data before any forecast attempts. The spectral predictability score evaluates the strength and regularity
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KDD 2025 Workshop on AI for Supply Chain2025Multi-horizon and multi-lead time forecasting is a well-established area in machine learning, particularly in demand forecasting, which plays a critical role in a product’s lifecycle. Accurate forecasts support key operational functions, including inventory management, financial planning, promotion planning, and supply chain optimization. Traditional demand forecasting methods typically rely on learning
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KDD 2025 Workshop on AI for Supply Chain2025Large Language Models (LLMs) have recently enabled natural language interfaces that translate user queries into executable SQL, offering a powerful solution for non-technical stakeholders to access structured data. However, one of the limitation that LLMs do not natively express uncertainty makes it difficult to assess the reliability of their generated queries. This paper presents a case study that evaluates
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KDD 2025 Workshop on AI for Supply Chain2025Modern time series forecasting increasingly relies on complex ensemble models generated by AutoML systems like AutoGluon, delivering superior accuracy but with significant costs to transparency and interpretability. This paper introduces a comprehensive, dual-approach framework that addresses both the explainability and forecastability challenges in complex time series ensembles. First, we develop a surrogate-based
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